What does this estimate?
The league points a team is likely to forgo while a key player is injured, based on how many matches they miss and the team's points-per-game with and without them.
// sports › Football / Soccer
Injury Impact Calculator
Estimate the league points a team forgoes while a key player is injured, from matches missed and the points-per-game difference with and without them.
points lost ≈ matches missed × (ppg with player − ppg without)
Frequently asked questions
Where do I get the points-per-game figures?
From the team's record in matches the player did and did not play. The gap between those two rates is the player's rough value to results.
Is this precise?
No. Football has too many variables for that, and small samples are noisy. It is a back-of-envelope estimate to size the impact, not a guarantee.
Why points rather than goals?
Because points are what decide league position and qualification. Translating an injury into lost points speaks the language of the table directly.
Can one player really swing this much?
Sometimes. A standout player can be worth a noticeable points-per-game difference, which over a long injury adds up to a meaningful chunk of a season.